Most people associate energy deregulation with electric choice, but the
deregulation bill the Legislature passed two years ago today applies also to
natural gas.
Even so, it wasn't until recent weeks, when gas-heat customers started
seeing what it cost to keep their homes cozy during a frigid December, that
gas received much attention.
With both commodities, we were promised lower rates, and that is
happening with electric service. By mid-2002, rates will drop as much as
14.8 percent below their level 18 months ago.
But after being spoiled by a string of mild winters and low gas bills,
consumers are getting sticker shock this year. Worst of all, there's not a
whole lot to do except turn the thermostat down, wear an extra sweater,
and hope the groundhog doesn't get frightened into six more weeks of
winter when he emerges on Friday.
"My wife and I were appalled," said John Capicchioni, whose December
gas bill was double the November bill. "That's a huge amount to jump."
Capicchioni thought the bill was so high because Public Service Electric
and Gas Co. had not read the meters at his Allendale house, and had
overestimated usage. The error, he figured, would be corrected when his
meter was read this month.
That's partially true, because the utility grossly overestimated usage on
Capicchioni's swimming pool meter. But the sky-high December bills he
and others received are also a preview of what is coming as deregulation
takes hold.
Unfortunately, many consumers are tuned out to deregulation and still don't
understand how the system works, even halfway through a three-year, $30
million state-run education program.
For a fraction of that, I'll walk you through some basics: Gas bills soared
last month because the cost of the raw material (natural gas) went up as
demand exceeded supply, and usage increased because it was unusually
cold.
Wholesale gas prices actually started rising long before this winter, forcing
the Board of Public Utilities in October to approve an immediate 16
percent rate increase, plus five additional monthly increases of 2 percent
each.
That means the rate for December was 18 percent higher than two months
earlier, and when all the monthly adjustments are made, the rate could be
28 percent higher by April.
Incidentally, while utilities make money on the electricity itself, as well as on its delivery to your home, they make nothing on the gas. Their profit comes
from bringing it into your home.
By law, the utility's cost to purchase gas gets passed along to customers.
That means with wholesale prices remaining high, the rate increases
granted by the BPU may not be enough to cover PSE&G's costs, and
gas-heat customers could be paying for their winter comfort in the middle
of the summer.
This wasn't supposed to happen. One of the ads in the state campaign last
year boasted that with deregulation, customer choice of natural gas
suppliers would lead to competition, resulting in "possibly . . . lower natural
gas prices and enhanced products and services."
But don't bother shopping around for a better deal; you won't find one, at
least until wholesale gas prices fall.
Although more than 2 percent of residential electric customers have
switched suppliers, a mere handful have picked an outside source for gas.
The BPU doesn't even bother to track the numbers.
Because of the BPU-imposed rate cap, even after the increases, "the
prices they can offer are not even close to what we can offer," said Kathy
Ellis, a PSE&G spokeswoman. "We have not seen any activity in recent
months."
But when the phase-in period ends in 2003, rates, now set by the BPU,
will be based on market conditions. If we operated under those rules now,
December gas bills would have been even higher than they were.
The lack of marketers hasn't slowed the advertising blitz that started in July
1999 under a three-year, $30 million contract the BPU awarded to a
Mount Laurel-based public relations company.
"We need to stay on message," said Fred Abbate, executive director of the
New Jersey Utilities Association.
"We need to explain to consumers that the law gives them a choice, that
they have certain kinds of rights, and they are protected," said Abbate,
who is chairman of the Utility Education Committee, which works with the
BPU in developing the campaign.
I don't disagree; educating consumers is important. But the current
emphasis on ads telling consumers they are protected against slamming --
having their suppliers switched without permission -- seem to be a waste of
money when there is virtually no one attempting to solicit either electric or
gas customers.
Abbate defends the ads, even though slamming is "not as big an issue as it
would be if we had more people in the market. It is one of several
messages we have been trying to get out, that you have protections. It's not
the only thing we've been saying."
But I agree with some industry officials who think the slamming message,
and much of the rest of the ad campaign, should be shelved until there is an
active market.
And don't forget: Ratepayers may wind up footing the bill for the ads.
Utility companies are paying the bills now, but they will be allowed to pass
on the costs to ratepayers if the BPU determines that the campaign was
effective.
Considering that the BPU has the final say on the ads, it would be hard for the commissioners to challenge their effectiveness.